Let’s look at team records when they allow 3 runs or less. As many of you know, I analyze a ton of data for all sports and I also have the benefit of an Artificial Intelligence System that learns from more than 15-years of box scores and applies that accumulated to knowledge to the current day’s card. Let’s take a look at team records where they allow 3 runs or less in a game. # YEAR TEAM RA G W L 1 2009 BOS 3 13 11 2 2 2009 FLO 3 15 11 4 3 2009 TBA 3 12 10 2 4 2009 SEA 3 14 9 5 5 2009 CIN 3 14 9 5 6 2009 SDN 3 11 9 2 7 2009 LAN 3 14 9 5 8 2009 PHI 3 10 8 2 9 2009 TOR 3 10 8 2 10 2009 DET 3 9 8 1 11 2009 NYA 3 10 8 2 12 2009 OAK 3 11 7 4 13 2009 MIN 3 10 7 3 14 2009 COL 3 10 7 3 15 2009 MIL 3 11 7 4 16 2009 ATL 3 16 7 9 17 2009 ANA 3 9 6 3 18 2009 CHA 3 9 6 3 19 2009 NYN 3 9 6 3 20 2009 HOU 3 7 5 2 21 2009 TEX 3 8 5 3 22 2009 SLN 3 7 5 2 23 2009 SFN 3 6 5 1 24 2009 CHN 3 11 5 6 25 2009 PIT 3 6 4 2 26 2009 KCA 3 6 3 3 27 2009 ARI 3 8 3 5 28 2009 WAS 3 6 3 3 29 2009 CLE 3 8 3 5 30 2009 BAL 3 5 1 4 The chart shows team records sorted by highest number of wins when allowing 3 runs or less. The chart below shows the data sorted by total number of games where 3 runs or less occurred. On the first chart, the surprise team is Florida. They are in third spot in the NL East just 3 GB of the slumping Phillies. Florida also ranks 2nd in MLB with the total number of games they allowed 3 or less runs. This clearly reflects that they have solid defense, but average bullpen, and average starting pitching. They have played 71 games and in 15 of these games (21%) they have allowed 3 runs or less and won 11 of them. That is an opportunistic type of team. Their starters rank 23rd with a 4.70 ERA and bullpen 13th with a 4.03 ERA. In the bottom half of the totals list St, Louis would have to be the surprise team with just 7 games allowing 3 or less and are still competing for the NL Central lead. Pujols is a dominant reason why they are still in contention. Obviously, the more times a team allows 3 runs or less in a game the better their chances at defeating the poor offensive teams in the league. The bottom 5 in runs scored are SD, Seattle, SF, Chicago Cubs, and Houston. So, when a team in the top-5 of the totals chart plays an inferior offensive team you may have a solid investment and this is reinforced by the AiS as well. So, for example, the Braves have a league leading 16 games so when they play against the bottom 5 teams in offense you have a qualifying play and even more so when on the road. You then can analyze the starters and bullpen availabilities to determine the worth of the play. I would also add strength to the play if the qualifying team is winning 80% percent of these plays. This list appears in chart 3 below. So, the teams to trust would be Boston, Detroit, TB, SF, SD, Philadelphia, Toronto, and the Yankees. # YEAR TEAM RA G W L Total 16 2009 ATL 3 16 7 9 16 2 2009 FLO 3 15 11 4 15 4 2009 SEA 3 14 9 5 14 5 2009 CIN 3 14 9 5 14 7 2009 LAN 3 14 9 5 14 1 2009 BOS 3 13 11 2 13 3 2009 TBA 3 12 10 2 12 6 2009 SDN 3 11 9 2 11 12 2009 OAK 3 11 7 4 11 15 2009 MIL 3 11 7 4 11 24 2009 CHN 3 11 5 6 11 8 2009 PHI 3 10 8 2 10 9 2009 TOR 3 10 8 2 10 11 2009 NYA 3 10 8 2 10 13 2009 MIN 3 10 7 3 10 14 2009 COL 3 10 7 3 10 10 2009 DET 3 9 8 1 9 17 2009 ANA 3 9 6 3 9 18 2009 CHA 3 9 6 3 9 19 2009 NYN 3 9 6 3 9 21 2009 TEX 3 8 5 3 8 27 2009 ARI 3 8 3 5 8 29 2009 CLE 3 8 3 5 8 20 2009 HOU 3 7 5 2 7 22 2009 SLN 3 7 5 2 7 23 2009 SFN 3 6 5 1 6 25 2009 PIT 3 6 4 2 6 26 2009 KCA 3 6 3 3 6 28 2009 WAS 3 6 3 3 6 30 2009 BAL 3 5 1 4 5 # YEAR TEAM RA G W L Percentage 10 2009 DET 3 9 8 1 0.89 1 2009 BOS 3 13 11 2 0.85 3 2009 TBA 3 12 10 2 0.83 23 2009 SFN 3 6 5 1 0.83 6 2009 SDN 3 11 9 2 0.82 8 2009 PHI 3 10 8 2 0.80 9 2009 TOR 3 10 8 2 0.80 11 2009 NYA 3 10 8 2 0.80 2 2009 FLO 3 15 11 4 0.73 20 2009 HOU 3 7 5 2 0.71 22 2009 SLN 3 7 5 2 0.71 13 2009 MIN 3 10 7 3 0.70 14 2009 COL 3 10 7 3 0.70 17 2009 ANA 3 9 6 3 0.67 18 2009 CHA 3 9 6 3 0.67 19 2009 NYN 3 9 6 3 0.67 25 2009 PIT 3 6 4 2 0.67 4 2009 SEA 3 14 9 5 0.64 5 2009 CIN 3 14 9 5 0.64 7 2009 LAN 3 14 9 5 0.64 12 2009 OAK 3 11 7 4 0.64 15 2009 MIL 3 11 7 4 0.64 21 2009 TEX 3 8 5 3 0.63 26 2009 KCA 3 6 3 3 0.50 28 2009 WAS 3 6 3 3 0.50 24 2009 CHN 3 11 5 6 0.45 16 2009 ATL 3 16 7 9 0.44 27 2009 ARI 3 8 3 5 0.38 29 2009 CLE 3 8 3 5 0.38 30 2009 BAL 3 5 1 4 0.20
 

John Ryan
	Ryan’s Super Bowl Game of the Year; 7-1 ATS since Ryan is 7-1 ATS in Super Bowl plays since 2001 so he does not always release a play. He nailed his 25* Play on the Saints and 25* Total Play under 57 points the year before. Join him for this winner and get NINE game propositions too. He shows you the facts and matchups why he will go to 8-1 ATS in Super Bowls.

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