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Home / Articles / Bubble Watch: 3/10

Bubble Watch: 3/10

By: Chris Copeland     Date: Mar 10, 2008
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Conference tournaments are in full bloom and bubble teams need a good showing if they want that coveted invite into the tournament. Bubble Watch will now be updated daily.

There are 31 conference winners that receive automatic bids and 34 At-Large berths available.

Here are the teams/conferences that will have one bid (18): Cornell, Winthrop, Austin Peay, Belmont, America East, Big Sky, Big West, Horizon, MAC, Metro Atlantic, MEAC, Northeast, Patriot, Southern, Southland, Summit, SWAC and WAC.

After the one-bid conferences, there are 31 spots that are Locked in for possibly multiple bid leagues:
A10 (1): Xavier
ACC (4): Duke, UNC, Clemson, Miami
Big East (6): UCONN, Georgetown, Marquette, Notre Dame, Louisville, Pitt
Big Ten (4): Wisconsin, Purdue, Indiana, Michigan St
Big 12 (3): Kansas, Texas, Oklahoma
C-USA (1): Memphis
Colonial (1): George Mason or William & Mary
Missouri Valley (1): Drake
Mountain West (1): BYU
Pac 10 (4): UCLA, Wash St, USC, Stanford
SEC (3): Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Miss St
WCC (2): Gonzaga, St Mary’s

So that leaves 16 spots for potential at-large teams. Each bubble team has a short statement of how many games it needs to win in its respective conference tournament to receive at-large consideration.

Note: Teams in BOLD are teams that would make the field if the season ended today.

A10
Bubble 4: UMASS, Dayton, St Joe’s, Temple

UMASS: A trip to the semis or beyond should be good enough.
Dayton: Has to beat Xavier in the quarters to have any kind of shot.
St Joe’s: Needs at least 2, maybe 3 wins (which could mean another win over X).
Temple: Finals trip might do it, but most likely needs the auto-bid.

ACC
Bubble 2: Virginia Tech, Maryland

Virginia Tech: Beat Miami in the quarters and keep it close against UNC.
Maryland: Needs at least two, but most likely has to go to the finals to secure a bid.

Big East
Bubble 3: West Virginia, Syracuse, Villanova

WVU: Cannot afford a first round exit. Win and they are in.
Syracuse: Elimination game against Nova. Winner still has a shot.
Villanova: Needs the Syracuse game more than the Orange. Probably has to beat Georgetown as well.

Big 10
Bubble 1: Ohio St

Ohio St: Beat MSU in the quarters and the Buckeyes should be dancing.

Big 12
Bubble 3: Baylor, Kansas St, Texas A&M

Baylor: One win and the Bears are dancing.
Kansas St: Probably in either way, but a win would solidify a bid.
Texas A&M: Needs 1 for sure; maybe 2.

Colonial
Bubble 1: VCU

VCU: Should get a bid, but tough loss to W&M in the tourney semis.

Conference USA
Bubble 1: UAB

UAB: Finals run will get the Blazers into the discussion.

Missouri Valley
Bubble 1: Illinois St

Illinois St: Should get a bid, but probably need some teams above them in the pecking order to lose.

Mountain West
Bubble 2: UNLV, New Mexico

UNLV: Reach the finals of the tournament.
New Mexico: See above.

Pac 10
Bubble 3: Arizona, Arizona St, Oregon

Arizona: Two wins would be good. 3 would be great.
Arizona St: Beat USC and the Sun Devils will be dancing.
Oregon: Two wins and it'll be tough to leave the Ducks out.

SEC
Bubble 4: Kentucky, Ole Miss, Arkansas, Florida

Kentucky: Might be in already; but winning one more will lock it up.
Ole Miss: Two wins might do it. Better get 3 just to be safe.
Arkansas: See Kentucky.
Florida: Finals or bust.

Sun Belt
Locks 0:
Bubble 2: South Alabama, Western Kentucky

South Alabama: Will get an at-large if USA doesn’t win the conference tourney.
WKU: Tournament finals at least. Most likely needs the auto-bid.

Last 4 in: Texas A&M, Syracuse, Ohio St, Illinois St

Last 4 out: Ole Miss, Virginia Tech, Dayton, St Joe’s
Next 4 out: New Mexico, Villanova, Maryland, Western Kentucky

Next update on Tuesday, March 11
 

  Chris Copeland

CFB Friday Game of the Day
Buffalo travels to Bowling Green to take on the Falcons, in what will be for first place in the MAC East division. Chris is off a 1-0-1 night on Wednesday and is the #1 college football handicapper here at 10starpicks. "Fellas, 1-0-1 on Wednesday, and #1 at 10star by a ton. Let's build that bankroll heading into my MONSTER Saturday. Don't miss it!!"


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