Last season in the NFL, teams that committed less (forced more) turnovers than their opponent logged an impressive 162-39 (81%) mark on the field, and a 155-41-5 record ATS (79%) (against the pointspread). Very impressive yes, but actually down from the '06 season where the teams went 173-38 SU (straight up) (82%), and 166-40-5 ATS (81%). In 2005, the numbers were 124-44 (74%) SU, and a 131- ...  read more

Last year, I wrote an article titled: Under A Buck midway through the NFL season. So with a new season set to kick-off in 10 days, I figured I’d update this article to include the seasonal numbers from 2007.

Here is the updated version of my Under A Buck article:

In the NFL, many games are won at the line of scrimmage. Teams that can run the ball and teams th ...  read more

Sports Handicappers such as myself spend countless hours sifting through information, crunching numbers, and searching for line value. The best of us go all out in hopes for a 55-60% season ( 52.38% is the breakeven point assuming a 10% vigorish or juice), with very few of us actually able to achieve the higher end of that range. Sports Handicapping is the ultimate GRIND, there is no magic, and ...  read more

Below is a free MLB selection for Monday night. You can also get an awesome MLB Over/Under Grand Slam on Steve Merril’s Premium Selections page! as his RED~HOT 14-5 run continues!

SAN DIEGO -105 (Peavy/Haren) – 10:05 pm ET #908

The Padres would ...  read more

Now that the Brett Favre circus has moved from Green Bay to New York, let's take a look on how the move effects Football bettors. In late July the media brought us the Brett Favre/Packers soap opera 24 hours a day and now it has moved to New York, the media capital of the world.

How does the Brett Favre media saga effect football bettors ? The answer is public overreaction. When the Jet ...  read more

Below is a free NFL winner for Friday night. You can also get an awesome NFL Steamroller Blowout for Friday night on Steve Merril’s Premium Selections page!

OVER 36 (Titans/Falcons) – 7:30 pm ET #245

The Titans have been an excellent offensive team in the preseason the past two years, averaging 27.2 points during their past five games with total scores of 51, 45, 44 ...  read more

I have now won four straight NFLX pre-season premium games. I have been handicapping all sports for 15 years and I simply want to invite you to make a solid commitment to my Ai Simulator methodology. In doing so, I can fully guarantee that you will have a high probability of making a significant amount of ...  read more

Last year, I wrote an article titled: 2 + 2 = 4 midway through the college football season. So with a new season set to kick-off next Thursday night, I figured I’d update this article to include the seasonal numbers from 2007.

Here is the updated version of my 2 + 2 = 4 article:

There is a simple way to judge a team’s performance in college fo ...  read more

2007 S/U: 4-12; ATS: 6-10; O/U: 10-6

2007 SPREAD FACT: 0-4 ATS AS A FAVORITE

2007 SPREAD FACT: 2-6 ATS @ HOME

2007 TOTAL FACT: 6-2 OVER ON THE ROAD

2007 TOTAL FACT: 7-3 OVER TOTALS 40 OR LESS

OFFENSIVE ANALYSIS:

Although the Raiders offensive stats in 2007 are not spectacular, if given the chance Head Coach Lane Kiffin ha ...  read more

Below is a free Daytime winner for Thursday afternoon. You can also get an awesome 2-0 **NFL PARLAY** for Thursday night on Steve Merril’s Guaranteed Selections page!

ARIZONA -140 (Haren/Rusch) – 3:05 pm ET #953

The Diamondbacks were swept by Colorado in the NL Championship Series last year, but Arizona has gotten their revenge this season with a 9-2 record versus t ...  read more

Tuesday Morning Coffee Carolina (1-0) versus Philadelphia (1-0) Lincoln Financial Stadium 8:00 EST

The Eagles played reasonably well in their first pre-season game at Pittsburgh. Reports in local papers has clearly under scored the positive tone of this team. McNabb is having one of his best pre-season camps and the team has an attitude that they are NOT done yet – referring to anot ...  read more

Below is a free underdog play for Tuesday night. You can also get awesome late-night MLB **STEAMROLLER** BLOWOUT on Steve Merril’s Premium Selections page!

BALTIMORE +120 (Olsen/Sowers) – 7:05 pm ET #971

The Orioles fit a subset of my Underdog System tonight, and they are in solid current form offensively as they have scored 9, 9, 7, and 8 runs in each of their past ...  read more

PITTSBURGH +1.5 -120 (Maholm/Blanton) - 7:05 pm ET #953

Statistically, the Pirates and Phillies are even offensively this season and Pittsburgh has the bet ...  read more

CAROLINA PANTHERS

2007 S/U 7-9; ATS 8-8; O/U 6-10

2007 SPREAD FACT:: Covered Final 3 Games of 2007 season

2007 SPREAD FACT: 2-0 as a Road Favorite

1-3 as a Favorite at Home

2007 TOTAL FACT: Totals Line 39 or Higher 7-0 Under Totals- 6-2 Under at h ...  read more

DALLAS COWBOYS

2007 SPREAD FACT: 2-5 ATS WHEN FAVORITE OF 10 OR MORE POINTS

2007 TOTAL FACT: 4-1 OVER WITH TOTALS 48 AND HIGHER.

OFFENSIVE ANALYSIS:

QB Tony Romo enters his second seaso ...  read more

Below is a free underdog play for Thursday night. You can also get awesome MLB Grand Slam **CRUSHER** on Steve Merril’s Premium Selections page as his RED~HOT 27-7 MLB run continues!

SAN DIEGO +100 (Peavy/Lohse) – 8:15 pm ET #953

The Padres vastly underachieved during the first half of the season, and they will now be a value t ...  read more

I have been researching the NFL and College FB over the past several weeks in preparation for another successful and profitable season. I have found a few “total wins” plays for you to join me on. Parity has been the dominant word from the NFL administration and over the past several years it has offered up some great opportunities. Simply said, we are going to be contrarian in thought looking ...  read more

Below is a free underdog play for Friday night. You can also get awesome MLB Steamroller Blowout on Steve Merril’s Premium Selections page as his RED~HOT 20-6 MLB run continues!

ATLANTA +135 (Reyes/Peavy) – 10:05 pm ET #913

The Braves remain an underrated team as they head into the second half of the season as they have been ex ...  read more

MINNESOTA +110 (Slowey/Rogers) – 1:05 pm ET #963

Minnesota is coming off an embarrassing 18-5 loss yesterday, but they should bounce-back today as they have their best pitcher on the mound. We also get solid line value with the better p ...  read more

By Jason Crowe for Steve Merril Sports

It’s hard to remember a 4th of July without fireworks, hot dogs, a few beers and great baseball. A few of the notable series this weekend include a matchup between the two teams battling for the NL Central lead, Cubs @ Cardinals; AL East rivals, Red Sox @ Yankees; and the surprising Rays (I think taking the preceding Devil out of the ...  read more

Most Americans celebrate Independence Day with an outdoor barbeque or with an assortment of fireworks, however another tradition is quickly gaining popularity and it involves eating an enormous amount of hot dogs in a very short period of time.

The first Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog-Eating Contest was held 92 years ago in 1916 in Coney Island, New York. Rumor has it that four immigrants had ...  read more

Below is a free Over/Under for Monday night. You can also get a late-night MLB Steamroller Blowout on Steve Merril’s Best Bets selections page!

UNDER 8 -115 (Athletics/Angels) (Smith/Garland) - 10:05 pm ET #976

The Angels are ice-cold on offense and have scored 0, 0, and 1 run in their past three games. They are likely to struggle again tonight as my pitcher perfo ...  read more

By Jason Crowe for Steve Merril Sports

The final weekend of Interleague play wraps up this weekend highlighted with an extended Subway Series in New York and the boys from the north side making the short trip to the south in Chicago.

Yankees @ Mets

The first game of an unusual four game series starts Friday afternoon at 2:05 pm ET in what will very possibly ...  read more

By Reed Hogben for Steve Merril Sports

The general betting public usually leans to Favorites, Overs and the Home teams; therefore sportsbooks were probably happy campers after the 2007 CFL season.

Favorites and Underdogs went a perfect 50% at 36-36 ATS. Home Favorites let bettors down at 25-28 ATS, while Away Favorites made a little money at 11-8 ATS. Of those 36 covering ...  read more

Both of these starting pitchers enter the game in good form off of their last 3 starts posting an identical WHIP of 0.95. In 4 road starts the Minnesota starting pitcher Slowey has posted a very good 2.45 ERA. In his last 9 starts Slowey has seen just 1 go over the total. In 5 starts at home this seas ...  read more

Beating the Number

By Ross Benjamin

Boston and Tampa Bay played a home and away series over this past week, and the home team dominated going a perfect 6-0. The Devil Rays won the three games at Tropicana Field by a combined score of 10-5 with every game going under the total. The Red Sox won the three games at Fenway Park by a combined score of 26-10 with every game going over the total. Both Clay Buchholz and J ...  read more

Currently at ...  read more

Who is more important, the coaches or the players? That debate has been ongoing forever in the world of sports. I have a very strong opinion on this subject, and my reasoning is strictly based on the results that I have tracked when focusing on spread results. To be honest, if I wasn’t a handicapper and a bettor, I’d view this subject as irrelevant. A casual fan could care less, and basical ...  read more

UCLA

Weaknesses: UCLA has trouble sc ...  read more

Okay, so now its my turn to play Dick Vitale and Jay Bilas real quick. I really can’t fathom South Alabama making this tournament. Sure they have the nice win over Mississippi St., but shouldn’t they have at least made the finals of a conference tournament played on their home court? Especially when that conference is the lowly Sun Belt (RPI 15). I definitely would have given that spot to I ...  read more

Analysis for top half of the bracket is by Erik Scheponik (ESI) and Matty Baiungo (Matty B Sports). Analysis on bottom half, and future rounds is entirely Erik Scheponik's (ESI). Enjoy and realize that line movement and further analysis can change/strenghten our opinion by game day.

UCLA (1) vs. Mississippi Valley St. (16)

Ben Howland has taken the Bruins to back- ...  read more

It seems that all sports fans love to do some research to prepare for their NCAA pools this time of year. As fans begin to prepare putting together their 2008 bracket keep in mind one basic , but important fact, while the first round matchups are important, in most cases players must have the NCAA champion picked correctly in order to win the pool. Seldom is a bracket pool won without th ...  read more